Almagrovs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Almagro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin S.J. hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60