AlmagrovsGimnasia Y Tiro

Almagro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.