GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Stranraer are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 15.3 against 15.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Challenge Cup, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alloa Athletic

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

10.3%

Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticLDLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
StranraerLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alloa AthleticStranraer
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power15.3
1.89xG1.61
View match centre →