GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Stranraer are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alloa Athletic hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the League Cup, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alloa Athletic

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
StranraerLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alloa AthleticStranraer
33.3Attack33.3
25.0Defence16.7
16.7Form8.3
28.7Power23.6
1.86xG1.45
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