GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Montrose are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alloa Athletic hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 10.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the League One, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alloa Athletic

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MontroseWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alloa AthleticMontrose
0.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power10.2
1.64xG0.98
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