GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Livingston · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Livingston are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Livingston hold a 49.3-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 87.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Livingston holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Livingston

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LivingstonWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alloa AthleticLivingston
6.7Attack55.6
73.3Defence100.0
26.7Form100.0
38.6Power87.9
1.09xG1.43
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