GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Falkirk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Falkirk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkirk hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 68.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the League Cup, while Falkirk holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Falkirk

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Falkirk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FalkirkWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
33.3Attack75.0
25.0Defence83.3
16.7Form58.3
28.7Power68.1
1.07xG2.28
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