Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
All Boys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Acassuso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and All Boys hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40