Aljustrelensevs
Lagoa
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aljustrelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Aljustrelense have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Lagoa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aljustrelense hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while Aljustrelense holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aljustrelense
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
14.5%
Aljustrelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00