Alianzavs
CS Herediano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alianza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CS Herediano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.1%
Model confidence
13.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80