Alianzavs
Cacahuatique
SCHEDULEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Alianza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cacahuatique are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.0 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Primera Division, while Alianza holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
11.8%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80