GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alianza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Antigua GFC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Alianza holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

11.2%

Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlianzaWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Antigua GFCLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AlianzaAntigua GFC
44.4Attack11.1
55.6Defence22.2
66.7Form0.0
58.8Power16.7
1.99xG0.97
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