Alianza ValleduparvsOnce Caldas

Alianza Petrolera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Once Caldas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 38.4-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 100.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Copa Colombia, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.