GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/3/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Alianza Petrolera are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Millonarios are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza PetroleraDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MillonariosDWLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza PetroleraMillonarios
25.8Attack51.5
50.0Defence63.6
27.3Form48.5
37.0Power55.0
0.57xG1.49
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