Alianza ValleduparvsDeportes Tolima

Alianza Valledupar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.