GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/28/2026, 9:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Petrolera · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Petrolera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chico are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Petrolera hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Primera A, while Alianza Petrolera holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Petrolera

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Alianza Petrolera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza PetroleraLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ChicoLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza PetroleraChico
25.8Attack23.8
50.0Defence34.9
27.3Form27.0
37.0Power30.2
1.09xG0.65
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