GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Universidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza UniversidadDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SantosWLDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Alianza UniversidadSantos
39.4Attack30.6
66.7Defence63.9
45.5Form47.2
52.5Power49.4
0.92xG0.55
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