Alianza Universidadvs
Estudiantil CNI
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alianza Universidad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Estudiantil CNI are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80