GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Universidad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Estudiantil CNI are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza UniversidadDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantil CNIWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza UniversidadEstudiantil CNI
39.4Attack54.5
66.7Defence60.6
45.5Form36.4
52.5Power47.0
1.01xG0.98
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