GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 7/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Universidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ayacucho FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza UniversidadWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ayacucho FCLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza UniversidadAyacucho FC
39.4Attack27.8
66.7Defence72.2
45.5Form44.4
52.5Power50.2
0.71xG0.50
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