Alianza ValleduparvsFortaleza FC

Alianza Valledupar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.