Alianza LimavsUCV Moquegua

Alianza Lima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.6% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.