Alianza LimavsSporting Cristal

Alianza Lima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.