GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 7/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Lima are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sport Huancayo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza LimaLLLDD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sport HuancayoWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza LimaSport Huancayo
60.3Attack42.9
79.4Defence46.0
76.2Form36.5
71.9Power43.8
2.28xG0.55
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