GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Lima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza LimaDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sport BoysWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza LimaSport Boys
60.3Attack30.2
79.4Defence66.7
76.2Form42.9
71.9Power48.6
1.39xG0.40
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