GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Lima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Juan Pablo II College are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.7% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

83.7%

Model confidence

83.7%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza LimaDWWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza LimaJuan Pablo II College
60.3Attack39.4
79.4Defence30.3
76.2Form31.8
71.9Power36.7
3.00xG0.50
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