Alianza Limavs
Cusco
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Alianza Lima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
14.1%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60