Alianza LimavsComerciantes Unidos

Alianza Lima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.