Alianza LimavsAlianza Atletico

Alianza Lima are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.