GGOALVIO

Alianza FC logoAlianza FCvsUMECIT logoUMECIT

COMPLETED

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alianza FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UMECIT are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UMECIT hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Alianza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza FC

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

13.1%

Alianza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza FCDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UMECITDLDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza FCUMECIT
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power26.7
1.54xG1.24
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