GGOALVIO

Panama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 5/3/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Alianza FC are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting San Miguelito are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza FC hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while Alianza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza FC

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Alianza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza FCDDDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting San MiguelitoWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza FCSporting San Miguelito
46.4Attack33.3
62.3Defence59.6
50.7Form35.1
56.1Power44.6
1.24xG0.66
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