Alianza AtleticovsDeportivo Garcilaso

Alianza Atletico are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.