GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Žalgiris II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Minija are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minija

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

66.7%

Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Žalgiris IIWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MinijaWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Žalgiris IIMinija
51.7Attack88.3
53.3Defence81.7
51.7Form86.7
53.2Power83.5
0.84xG2.32
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