GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Žalgiris II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

13.9%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Žalgiris IIDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II
46.3Attack22.2
51.9Defence42.6
46.3Form18.5
49.4Power30.6
1.83xG0.69
View match centre →