Žalgiris IIvs
Jonava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Žalgiris II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Jonava are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00