Žalgiris IIvs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 7/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Žalgiris II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20