Žalgiris IIvs
Garliava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 6/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Žalgiris II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Garliava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00