Žalgiris IIvs
BFA
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Žalgiris II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while BFA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.0 against 52.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
12.8%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40