GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Alfreton Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rotherham are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 39.7-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rotherham

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alfreton TownLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RotherhamDDWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Alfreton TownRotherham
27.8Attack85.7
27.8Defence66.7
11.1Form57.1
26.1Power65.8
0.90xG3.10
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