GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Notts County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alfreton Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Notts County are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Notts County hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Notts County

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alfreton TownDWDDW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Notts CountyWDWDW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Alfreton TownNotts County
27.8Attack57.1
27.8Defence33.3
11.1Form38.1
26.1Power45.8
1.51xG2.16
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