Alfreton Townvs
Gainsborough Trinity
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gainsborough Trinity · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alfreton Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gainsborough Trinity are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gainsborough Trinity hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Gainsborough Trinity holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gainsborough Trinity
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
13.6%
Gainsborough Trinity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80