GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gainsborough Trinity · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alfreton Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gainsborough Trinity are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gainsborough Trinity hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Gainsborough Trinity holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gainsborough Trinity

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

13.6%

Gainsborough Trinity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alfreton TownLDWDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gainsborough TrinityWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alfreton TownGainsborough Trinity
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
1.15xG1.47
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