Alfreton Townvs
Burton Albion
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Alfreton Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Burton Albion are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 41.9-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80