GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alfreton Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Avro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avro hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Avro holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avro

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

13.2%

Avro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alfreton TownWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AvroWWWLL

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Alfreton TownAvro
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power87.7
1.21xG1.54
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