Alebrijes de OaxacavsTepatitlán

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 9.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.