Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aldosivi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tigre are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Tigre holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tigre
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
28.6%
Tigre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80