GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aldershot Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Aldershot Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hartlepool are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aldershot Town hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the National League, while Aldershot Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aldershot Town

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

9.2%

Aldershot Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aldershot TownWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HartlepoolWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aldershot TownHartlepool
53.6Attack50.7
39.9Defence40.6
50.0Form43.5
49.6Power47.0
2.09xG1.67
View match centre →