AlcorconvsRayo Majadahonda

Alcorcon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rayo Majadahonda are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rayo Majadahonda hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Alcorcon holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.