Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Albion FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Primera División, while Albion FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60