Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaves · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alaves are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Getafe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.7 against 44.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the La Liga, while Alaves holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alaves
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
18.3%
Alaves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40