GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alashkert are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlashkertLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlashkertYelimay Semey
25.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
25.0Form33.3
36.2Power48.3
1.15xG1.28
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