Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Shabab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Shabab are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Al Nasr are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Shabab hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Al Shabab holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Shabab
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Al Shabab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40